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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joshua Brown's goal at 6:42 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were DET 20, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 37 of 43 (.860), 1.4 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dryden Hunt (1 G), 3. Joshua Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    D. Hunt1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET031809120
FLAFLA215113315643

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:42
  2. FLA
    J. McGinn(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    9:22

2nd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    8:26
  2. DET
    T. Vanek(14)PPG
    slapxG 0.19win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    12:24

3rd period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    1:26
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    2:51
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.18
    1-6
    7:44

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:09DETMadison Bowey · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:57DETAndreas Athanasiou · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 5:49FLAserved by J. Hawryluk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:40FLADryden Hunt · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jimmy Howard2 min
  • 19:53DETFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

3rd

  • 15:33DETThomas Vanek · Holdingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Joshua Brown, 1st 6:42 — FLA 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.27F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.22D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.22E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.22R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.20A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.18J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.12T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.11K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.11D. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.09H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brown · Goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.08K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.03J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 4.6 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
1.51 G
All situations
6 G4.6
0.80 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET9%91%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 4.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
20
Shots on goal
43
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
43
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52J. EricssonD000-250.13400—20:53
17F. HronekD000020.03502—20:16
65D. DeKeyserD000-100.00420—20:10
83T. DaleyD000-200.03100—19:44
72A. AthanasiouC000-130.354125619:30
59T. BertuzziL000-110.07310—18:22
74M. BoweyD000-200.05202—18:11
39A. ManthaR000010.07300—18:04
55N. KronwallD000-100.00100—17:40
8J. AbdelkaderL000000.00200—17:05
43D. HelmC000-130.13000016:29
51F. NielsenC011-100.042103316:01
41L. GlendeningC000000.005104815:14
11F. ZadinaR000-100.00000—13:58
26T. VanekL101-120.19112—13:19
70C. EhnC000-220.202105010:02
27M. RasmussenC000-210.15110009:57
61J. de la RoseL000-200.003101709:19
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)43376.8604.61-1.3960:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).