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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSP·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Islanders scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 1:34 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 25, NYI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Thomas Greiss stopped 10 of 15 (.667), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. James van Riemsdyk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (2 A), 3. Travis Sanheim (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Gostisbehere2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI21035010525
NYINYI1601318227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    N. Leddy (21), M. Barzal (37)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:30
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:20
  3. PHI
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:56

2nd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    1:34
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    5:35
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    17:26

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal (38), R. Pulock (25)
    backhandxG 0.10
    5-2
    16:28

Penalties

PHI 11 PIM·NYI 18 PIM

1st

  • 11:12NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min

2nd

  • 6:02PHIRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 6:28PHISean Couturier · High stickingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

3rd

  • 5:41PHIJakub Voracek · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Boychuk5 min
  • 5:41NYIJosh Bailey · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 10:55NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 10:55NYIScott Mayfield · Misconductdrawn by Jakub Voracek10 min
  • 11:56NYILeo Komarov · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 11:56PHIJakub Voracek · Roughingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 2nd 1:34 — PHI 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.30C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
2.05 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.85 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI45%55%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
25
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
18
18
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
23
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011+420.13220—25:33
3R. GudasD000-220.03120—20:51
14S. CouturierC101+210.090027320:45
6T. SanheimD022+410.08400—20:37
53S. GostisbehereD022+130.05030—18:30
28C. GirouxR011+130.180005618:12
8R. HaggD000-210.01430—17:54
11T. KonecnyR101+110.08000—15:30
93J. VoracekR022+220.11017—15:22
21S. LaughtonC011+100.032304514:46
25J. van RiemsdykL112+120.29000—14:31
61P. MyersD000+100.02200—14:19
23O. LindblomL000+130.42100—13:18
19N. PatrickC101010.300004413:16
12M. RafflL000+210.02000—12:55
38R. HartmanR101020.11112—12:24
10C. KnightC000-100.00010012:04
44P. VaroneC000-100.001005010:20
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)27252.9262.22+0.2259:59

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).