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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SNP, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack Kassian's goal at 14:07 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were VAN 37, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Mikko Koskinen stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 A), 2. Zack Kassian (1 G), 3. Brock Boeser (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Kassian1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01811019237
EDMEDM21711403334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:21
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:07

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:02
  2. VAN
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    18:30

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    7:03

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:26VANDerrick Pouliot · High stickingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 11:53EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 5:50EDMAndrej Sekera · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 6:28VANTroy Stecher · Holdingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min

3rd

  • 4:53EDMOscar Klefbom · Slashingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min
  • 11:27EDMLeon Draisaitl · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 12:25VANserved by A. Gaudette · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zack Kassian, 1st 14:07 — EDM 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.65L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.19A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Currie · On goal · xG 0.13C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.12K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.08J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.06J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.05J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Currie · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
3.72 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN67%33%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.63 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
37
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
25
5
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD101-150.27440—29:25
51T. StecherD000000.00212—26:50
53B. HorvatC000+110.300005423:19
6B. BoeserR022+130.180005021:49
40E. PetterssonC011-130.641006321:46
17J. LeivoL000060.5301010019:41
5D. PouliotD000-120.04412—18:03
55A. BiegaD000-220.12110—17:44
77N. GoldobinR000020.06010—16:28
70T. PearsonL000010.12300—13:56
26A. RousselL000010.12420—13:51
2L. SchennD000+120.03210—12:32
88A. GaudetteR000020.531004011:17
29A. SautnerD011+110.01200—10:27
83J. BeagleC101-120.382006010:10
60M. GranlundC000020.0200010010:04
21L. ErikssonL000-110.01000—09:01
64T. MotteC000-210.31100008:52
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)34313.9122.61-0.3958:45

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).