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Islanders at Senators
NHL

New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV MSG+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 12:29 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 31, OTT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Valtteri Filppula (2 G), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    V. Filppula2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI21301028431
OTTOTT11211708237

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    V. Filppula(14)
    L. Komarov (16), N. Leddy (20)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    5:44
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(15)
    B. Harpur (2), A. Duclair (10)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:00
  3. NYI
    V. Filppula(15)
    T. Kuhnhackl (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    15:24

2nd period

  1. OTT
    O. Lindberg(7)
    B. Gibbons (6), B. Ryan (24)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    9:13

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(16)
    A. Pelech (11), M. Barzal (36)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:29
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(19)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:11

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

2nd

  • 5:32NYIJohnny Boychuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Magnus Paajarvi2 min
  • 11:11OTTBrady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 14:10OTTChristian Wolanin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:47NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Magnus Paajarvi2 min

3rd

  • 14:11OTTZack Smith · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 14:11NYICasey Cizikas · Roughingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 14:11NYICasey Cizikas · Slashingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 14:11OTTZack Smith · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 3rd 12:29 — NYI 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.26B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.22B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.19C. White · On goal · xG 0.17C. White · On goal · xG 0.15O. Lindberg · Missed · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.13C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11O. Lindberg · Goal · xG 0.10T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wolanin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindberg · Missed · xG 0.00R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsOTT
2.43 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsOTT
31
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
39
Hits
25
25
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD011+320.01320—22:25
24S. MayfieldD000-100.01430—20:31
6R. PulockD000+330.07230—19:54
2N. LeddyD011020.12320—19:43
51V. FilppulaC202+250.321303619:28
55J. BoychukD000040.06612—18:29
25D. ToewsD000-100.03000—17:11
12J. BaileyR000-210.06200—16:44
14T. KuhnhacklR011+130.15030—16:07
27A. LeeL000-120.18230—15:56
13M. BarzalC011+100.000124015:13
29B. NelsonC000-100.112104615:08
7J. EberleR000+110.00010—14:53
47L. KomarovR011+110.12200—14:42
28M. Dal ColleL000+100.00110—13:08
53C. CizikasC101+130.404145012:38
18A. BeauvillierR101+120.473004312:32
32R. JohnstonL000+120.29400—11:29
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)37352.9463.08+1.0859:49

Season series

NYI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).