Skip to content

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, TVAS·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 14:16 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 61% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 35, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH215310010535
PHIPHI0719214330

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    5:55
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:16

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    2:32
  2. WSH
    T. Boyd (14), D. Orlov (19)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    4:18
  3. WSH
    J. Vrana (22), N. Jensen (14)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    5-0
    5:37
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    19:48

3rd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    0:10
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    7:48

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:43WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min

2nd

  • 1:49PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
  • 10:30PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 2:29PHIScott Laughton · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:23WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Andrew MacDonald2 min
  • 10:23PHIAndrew MacDonald · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Connolly, 1st 14:16 — WSH 61% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.08A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Myers · Goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
3.15 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.84 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH61%39%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
30
30%
Faceoffs
70%
1/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2M. NiskanenD011+310.04210—21:01
74J. CarlsonD011-120.16000—20:54
9D. OrlovD022+330.09020—20:43
43T. WilsonR101030.28312—19:34
6M. KempnyD000-220.04130—19:12
8A. OvechkinL112010.35010—19:11
19N. BackstromC112-120.621003619:10
77T. OshieR000-120.352023318:13
92E. KuznetsovC000+130.281001818:09
3N. JensenD011-150.16110—17:23
44B. OrpikD000020.08110—16:33
20L. EllerC000+120.220004616:17
13J. VranaL011-100.01000—14:05
62C. HagelinL011+120.10300—13:40
10B. ConnollyR101+110.04000—11:19
26N. DowdC000010.091001711:11
72T. BoydC011+110.02100010:11
65A. BurakovskyL101+120.14000—10:06
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)30273.9002.16-0.8459:08

Season series

WSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).