Oilers at Blue Jackets 4-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Edmonton Oilers

▸4

Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FS-O, SNW·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Currie's goal at 5:07 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — EDM 1.5, CBJ 1.5; shots on goal were EDM 24, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McDavid (3 A), 3. Mikko Koskinen (30 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

★
L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
★★
C. McDavid3 A
★★★
M. Koskinen30 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
EDM	19	310	05	424
CBJ	010	011	09	030

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

Z. Kassian(10)
L. Draisaitl (40), K. Russell (10)
snapxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
1-0
6:27

2nd period

J. Currie(2)
L. Draisaitl (41), C. McDavid (55)
tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
2-0
5:07
L. Draisaitl(40)
C. McDavid (56)
wristxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
3-0
8:53
A. Chiasson(18)
C. McDavid (57), K. Russell (11)
slapxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
4-0
14:26

Penalties

2 PIM·

2 PIM

3rd

8:17Darnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
13:42Boone Jenner · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

Biggest swing: Josh Currie, 2nd 5:07 — EDM 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.5 xG · 40 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 1.5 xG · 30 att CBJ

0 G · 1.5 xG · 40 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.54 G
All situations: 0 G1.5; 1.24 G
Even strength: 0 G1.1; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.4; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

49%51%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

24
Shots on goal: 30; 53%
Faceoffs: 47%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 2; 15
Hits: 27; 17
Blocked shots: 7; 4
Giveaways: 13; 8
Takeaways: 6

Box score

every player line

Edmonton Oilers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
77O. KlefbomD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	—	24:17
29L. DraisaitlC	1	2	3	+3	4	0.38	0	0	0	50	22:43
6A. LarssonD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	0	3	0	—	22:36
97C. McDavidC	0	3	3	+4	1	0.22	0	0	0	50	21:14
4K. RussellD	0	2	2	+3	1	0.04	0	3	0	—	20:39
25D. NurseD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.11	2	1	2	—	20:14
44Z. KassianR	1	0	1	+1	4	0.15	1	1	0	—	19:34
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	74	19:01
39A. ChiassonR	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	—	16:49
2A. SekeraD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	—	16:09
27M. LucicL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	—	15:25
83M. BenningD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	—	14:50
22T. RiederL	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	—	13:11
43J. CurrieR	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	2	0	—	12:47
12C. CaveC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	29	12:02
28K. BrodziakC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	45	10:40
89S. GagnerC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	0	09:28
8T. RattieR	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	06:21

Edmonton Oilers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
19M. Koskinen(W)	30	30	0	1.000	1.51	+1.51	60:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Mar 24@0this game
Mar 211@4Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets

1st period

2nd period

3rd

Box score