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Stars at Blackhawks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Spezza's goal at 8:55 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 55% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were DAL 29, CHI 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 44 of 47 (.936); Cam Ward stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anton Khudobin (44 saves, .936), 3. Jason Spezza (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin44 saves, .936
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Spezza1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL21211413429
CHICHI013220114347

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(11)
    M. Zuccarello (27), J. Dickinson (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:35
  2. DAL
    A. Radulov(17)
    M. Heiskanen (17)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:28

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Zuccarello(12)
    T. Seguin (32), E. Lindell (20)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:44
  2. CHI
    C. Kunitz(2)
    M. Kruger (6), D. Keith (26)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    2:58
  3. CHI
    D. Caggiula(11)
    D. Keith (27), E. Gustafsson (32)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    15:37

3rd period

  1. CHI
    J. Toews(29)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (33)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    4:16
  2. DAL
    J. Spezza(8)PPG
    A. Radulov (32), J. Klingberg (23)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    8:55

Penalties

DAL 15 PIM·CHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 11:35CHIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Jason Dickinson5 min
  • 11:35DALJason Dickinson · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min

2nd

  • 11:43DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

3rd

  • 3:29DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 7:25CHIserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:03CHIDuncan Keith · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 12:40DALBen Lovejoy · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 15:26DALRoman Polak · High sticking double minordrawn by Dominik Kahun4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Spezza, 3rd 8:55 — DAL 55% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.14J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kunitz · Goal · xG 0.08E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05D. Caggiula · Goal · xG 0.05D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sikura · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sikura · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI3 G · 2.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
2.24 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL40%60%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
29
Shots on goal
47
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD011+130.07330—27:44
4M. HeiskanenD011+110.33200—22:19
91T. SeguinC011+240.171005321:07
45R. PolakD000+110.02114—20:28
3J. KlingbergD011-110.03000—19:39
15B. ComeauL000000.00200—19:37
47A. RadulovR112+250.1320410019:31
21B. LovejoyD000+110.01232—18:03
12R. FaksaC101+120.283004417:46
16J. DickinsonC011020.113054015:21
24R. HintzC000-200.002104014:57
13M. JanmarkC000-110.03000014:54
17A. CoglianoC000020.1722010014:43
36M. ZuccarelloR112+340.48010—13:35
90J. SpezzaC101-220.400004411:47
2J. OleksiakD000-100.00210—10:30
25B. RitchieR000000.00600—07:53
14J. BennL000000.00000—01:19
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)47443.9362.51-0.4960:00

Season series

CHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).