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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV PRIME, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Rowney's goal at 11:43 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 13% to 28%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.0, EDM 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 34, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Kevin Boyle stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Mikko Koskinen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (33 saves, .971), 2. Josh Currie (1 G), 3. Milan Lucic (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    EDM
    J. Currie1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Lucic1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA010111013134
EDMEDM181805221

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:00

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:57
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    11:43

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

3rd

  • 4:57ANARyan Kesler · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 16:22EDMLeon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Rowney, 2nd 11:43 — ANA 13% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Currie · Goal · xG 0.20M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.17A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.15M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.11T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.07S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.07T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.06J. Currie · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.04T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 1.8 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
2.01 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA55%45%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
21
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
33
12
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+120.04010—23:43
67R. RakellR000-170.39110—21:46
47H. LindholmD000-120.12110—21:17
42J. MansonD000-130.10030—21:03
44M. Del ZottoD011+130.13100—19:25
37N. RitchieL011+140.20300—17:32
33J. SilfverbergR000-110.15000—16:32
29D. ShoreC000-100.01210016:28
26B. MontourD000-120.06000—15:57
10C. PerryR000-100.00300—15:56
17R. KeslerC000+110.033025315:52
14A. HenriqueC000020.384104315:36
38D. GrantC000-200.002004415:15
43J. MegnaD000-120.05030—14:57
49M. JonesL000030.11100—14:26
61T. TerryR000000.00010—12:28
34S. SteelC000010.031004412:17
24C. RowneyC101+110.19200009:25
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40K. Boyle(L)21192.9051.79-0.2158:05

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).