Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Rowney's goal at 11:43 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 13% to 28%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.0, EDM 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 34, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Kevin Boyle stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Mikko Koskinen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (33 saves, .971), 2. Josh Currie (1 G), 3. Milan Lucic (1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Koskinen33 saves, .971

- ★★J. Currie1 G

- ★★★M. Lucic1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-116:00
2nd period
0-20:57
1-211:43
Penalties
3rd
- 4:57
Ryan Kesler · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 16:22
Leon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Carter Rowney, 2nd 11:43 — 13% → 28%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.01 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.8
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 1.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 24
- Hits
- 33
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 10
- Giveaways
- 16
- 8
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
1@
2OTFinal
4@
0Final
1@
2this game
5@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
