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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV FS-F, FS-SE·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 0:19 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 27% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were CAR 25, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Williams (2 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Williams2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1101926425
FLAFLA01039011330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(16)
    B. Pesce (11)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:12

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(18)
    J. Williams (24), J. Slavin (21)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:35
  2. FLA
    E. Dadonov(21)
    J. Hawryluk (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    6:53
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(24)PPG
    E. Dadonov (26), J. Huberdeau (42)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    9:49
  4. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(16)PPG
    M. Hoffman (24), A. Barkov (38)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:08

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Faulk(6)PPG
    T. Teravainen (36), N. Niederreiter (20)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    0:19
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(17)PPG
    T. Teravainen (37), S. Aho (44)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    4-3
    2:15

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·FLA 16 PIM

1st

  • 6:56FLAMark Pysyk · Trippingdrawn by Greg McKegg2 min
  • 11:46FLAMark Pysyk · Slashingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 12:17CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 19:50FLAVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min

2nd

  • 8:31CARLucas Wallmark · Holdingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 10:38CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 17:36FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 19:08FLAAaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min

3rd

  • 1:52FLAIan McCoshen · Slashingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 5:20FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Holdingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 5:20FLAFrank Vatrano · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 9:54CARMicheal Ferland · Cross checkingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 19:31CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 3rd 0:19 — CAR 27% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.23E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.14H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA3 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.02 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR54%46%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/8
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
16
29
Hits
35
6
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
15
15
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27J. FaulkD101+130.26000—28:49
20S. AhoC011+230.400045022:34
74J. SlavinD011010.02120—20:45
86T. TeravainenC022000.00000020:41
21N. NiederreiterR112+230.72100—20:00
14J. WilliamsR213+250.280002519:36
22B. PesceD011+110.03300—18:44
19D. HamiltonD000-120.15100—17:44
71L. WallmarkC000010.152023916:13
23B. McGinnL000000.0022010016:06
44C. de HaanD000+120.04300—14:55
79M. FerlandL000010.12402—14:26
48J. MartinookL000000.002124514:21
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00110—12:21
37A. SvechnikovR000010.15100—11:35
13W. FoegeleL000-100.00400—08:30
8S. MaenalanenR000-110.13200—08:26
42G. McKeggC000-110.172006007:57
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)30273.9002.36-0.6460:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).