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Penguins at Devils
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
New Jersey Devils
3
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3. The Devils scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 10:45 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 28, NJD 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Keith Kinkaid stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (1 G), 2. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Johansson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT2112908428
NJDNJD21208116336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(7)
    M. Johansson (15), M. Mueller (8)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:14
  2. PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese(7)
    S. Crosby (48), B. Dumoulin (19)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:49
  3. NJD
    M. Johansson(12)
    M. Mueller (9), J. Bratt (23)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:12
  4. PIT
    N. Bjugstad(7)PPG
    M. Pettersson (17), D. Simon (15)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    18:24

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(17)
    J. Guentzel (27)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    10:45
  2. PIT
    C. Ruhwedel(1)
    E. Malkin (44)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    17:29

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(7)
    D. Severson (21), T. Zajac (22)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    4-3
    15:10

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:17PITEvgeni Malkin · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Keith Kinkaid2 min
  • 16:30NJDBrett Seney · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

3rd

  • 5:42PITPhil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 17:09NJDBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 2nd 10:45 — PIT 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.37K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.19K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.19M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.17M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.17K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.14M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.00B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
2.34 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT42%58%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
28
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-140.17000—24:57
8B. DumoulinD011-110.06010—21:36
87S. CrosbyC011+110.120005219:24
2C. RuhwedelD101+140.17210—19:16
59J. GuentzelC011020.16210018:48
73J. JohnsonD000000.03110—18:35
17B. RustR101+110.26000—17:41
28M. PetterssonD011+210.01010—17:27
46Z. Aston-ReeseL101+130.33200—17:17
4J. SchultzD000-100.02000—16:53
71E. MalkinC011000.171123315:35
19J. McCannL000020.133104015:04
81P. KesselR000000.00002—14:42
27N. BjugstadC101030.292006714:20
72P. HornqvistR000010.17010—13:29
7M. CullenC000-120.190002911:59
12D. SimonC011-120.03100010:32
14T. PearsonL000-110.01100—08:25
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)36333.9172.78-0.2260:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).