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Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Dallas Stars 6-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikhail Sergachev's goal at 12:39 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 32, TBL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.1 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (32 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy32 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01301207032
TBLTBL41021402626

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(31)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:19
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:39
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos (37), O. Palat (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:53
  4. TBL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    14:40

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    8:23
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(32)PPG
    wristxG 0.06
    0-6
    16:28

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:41DALTaylor Fedun · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 7:11DALMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 18:14TBLJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

2nd

  • 15:10DALTyler Seguin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:49DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 4:55TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 8:07DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 8:07TBLAdam Erne · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 8:07DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDAL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikhail Sergachev, 1st 12:39 — TBL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.19S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.13J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL6 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsTBL
2.00 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.90 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000-210.12110—22:11
45R. PolakD000-200.01300—21:23
4M. HeiskanenD000-150.18000—20:32
2J. OleksiakD000-140.09500—19:21
42T. FedunD000-140.07112—17:59
13M. JanmarkC000-110.10102017:35
3J. KlingbergD000-130.06110—16:22
91T. SeguinC000-220.440027516:12
34D. GurianovR000-110.23020—15:32
16J. DickinsonC000010.001202515:18
47A. RadulovR000-210.19002—15:17
25B. RitchieR000-110.04300—14:42
12R. FaksaC000010.092106914:19
90J. SpezzaC000-120.140106414:17
24R. HintzC000-220.055103314:13
17A. CoglianoC000-100.00100012:42
14J. BennL000-110.092045012:28
43V. NichushkinR000020.05110—12:11
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)21165.7621.92-3.0832:53
41L. Bow541.8000.50-0.5027:07

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).