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Predators at Blues
NHL

Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-TN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mackenzie MacEachern's goal at 10:58 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 5.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 31, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (29 saves, .935), 3. Robert Thomas (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01217112231
STLSTL21211803333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Dunn(7)
    R. Thomas (10), O. Sundqvist (8)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:37
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(19)
    B. Schenn (23)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:45

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Ekholm(7)PPG
    C. Smith (12), P. Subban (15)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:28
  2. STL
    M. MacEachern(2)
    I. Barbashev (9), R. Thomas (11)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:58

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(11)
    F. Forsberg (16), R. Josi (33)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    2-3
    18:45

Penalties

NSH 11 PIM·STL 7 PIM

1st

  • 2:03STLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
  • 2:03NSHCody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 7:22NSHCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

2nd

  • 5:57STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 14:03NSHNick Bonino · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

3rd

  • 7:16NSHKyle Turris · Interferencedrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Mackenzie MacEachern, 2nd 10:58 — STL 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.55O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.48V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.45B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.43V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.23R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.22J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.17O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.11V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08M. MacEachern · Goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.07J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 5.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSTL
2.02 G
All situations
3 G5.0
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH27%73%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
26
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+130.18440—25:58
14M. EkholmD101-120.11110—22:47
76P. SubbanD011020.06500—22:28
4R. EllisD000010.09300—22:23
92R. JohansenC101+120.130005521:01
9F. ForsbergL011040.18020—19:09
33V. ArvidssonL000010.38110—18:58
10C. SissonsC000-100.153007517:50
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.15000016:08
22K. FialaL000030.17000—15:22
8K. TurrisC000020.081025015:13
15C. SmithC011050.252025015:01
5D. HamhuisD000-210.01000—13:25
11B. BoyleC000-220.071002912:51
13N. BoninoC000010.011125012:47
52M. IrwinD000-200.00210—11:41
38R. HartmanR000-110.02000—10:34
55C. McLeodL000-100.00205—03:08
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)33303.9093.52+0.5257:16

Season series

STL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).