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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV CBC, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 2:00 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 16% to 31%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.2, OTT 3.3; shots on goal were WPG 46, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.7 goals below expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (44 saves, .957), 2. Mark Stone (2 G), 3. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson44 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Stone2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG016117113246
OTTOTT21321118532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(24)
    C. Tierney (30), R. Balcers (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:57
  2. OTT
    R. Dzingel(21)
    C. Ceci (13), C. White (17)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:21

2nd period

  1. WPG
    B. Little(14)
    P. Laine (11), D. Byfuglien (26)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    2:00
  2. OTT
    M. Stone(25)PPG
    T. Chabot (32), M. Duchene (28)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    9:50
  3. OTT
    M. Duchene(25)
    B. Ryan (21)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:39

3rd period

  1. OTT
    Z. Smith(6)
    J. Pageau (3)
    wristxG 0.12
    1-5
    15:20
  2. WPG
    B. Lemieux(9)
    J. Morrissey (24), M. Appleton (6)
    wristxG 0.01
    2-5
    19:17

Penalties

WPG 7 PIM·OTT 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:57OTTBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 5:57WPGBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min
  • 13:14OTTMaxime Lajoie · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 9:35WPGDustin Byfuglien · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 19:01OTTMaxime Lajoie · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 3:32OTTThomas Chabot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, 2nd 2:00 — WPG 16% → 31%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.40R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.21M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.18C. White · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Smith · Goal · xG 0.12M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.12R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.11R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.11R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.08M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 3.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
3.22 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.72 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG48%52%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
46
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD011-150.11012—22:51
55M. ScheifeleC000-240.542106321:30
8J. TroubaD000+130.06120—20:57
26B. WheelerR000-230.13200—19:57
44J. MorrisseyD011+130.23010—19:49
57T. MyersD000-150.14100—19:25
81K. ConnorL000-250.26000—19:24
28J. RoslovicC000+110.270004017:58
85M. PerreaultC000-200.00300016:53
18B. LittleC101+130.351004316:34
7B. ChiarotD000-120.04320—16:07
29P. LaineL011020.21100—15:52
70J. MorrowD000-230.06020—15:51
13B. TanevL000-110.05500—14:30
17A. LowryC000-210.093103814:22
9A. CoppC000040.611105011:06
82M. AppletonC011+100.00100008:46
48B. LemieuxL101+110.10315—07:53
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(L)32275.8443.30-1.7060:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).