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Wild at Devils
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Devils scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 15:07 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were MIN 33, NJD 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected; Cory Schneider stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G), 3. Zach Parise (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN112211110433
NJDNJD170615218

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    B. Seney(5)
    W. Butcher (17)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:57
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(5)
    G. Pateryn (3), L. Kunin (8)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:19

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise(22)PPG
    R. Suter (31)
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    4:34
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(4)
    J. Brodin (9), M. Foligno (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    15:07

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(5)
    D. Severson (19)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:56
  2. MIN
    L. Kunin(2)
    M. Foligno (9)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    7:40

Penalties

MIN 9 PIM·NJD 11 PIM

1st

  • 18:03MINNick Seeler · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

2nd

  • 0:40NJDBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 4:24NJDBen Lovejoy · High stickingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 4:36MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis Gabriel5 min
  • 4:36NJDKurtis Gabriel · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 8:38MINJordan Greenway · Trippingdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min

3rd

  • 1:29NJDKyle Palmieri · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalMIN goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 2nd 15:07 — MIN 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.22P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.06K. Gabriel · On goal · xG 0.05B. Seney · Goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD2 G · 1.5 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNJD
2.84 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN67%33%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNJD
33
Shots on goal
18
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
33
15
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
16
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD011020.16220—25:25
46J. SpurgeonD000040.08040—23:17
64M. GranlundC000030.092005421:43
11Z. PariseL101050.55210—20:57
25J. BrodinD011030.68000—20:06
3C. CoyleC000020.031008619:03
2A. BitettoD000010.04720—18:24
16J. ZuckerL000030.47100—17:37
12E. StaalC000000.030006916:54
18J. GreenwayL000000.00102—16:54
19L. KuninC112+340.201003315:41
14J. Eriksson EkC101+230.141203014:50
29G. PaterynD011+100.01210—14:49
36N. SeelerD000+100.01012—14:38
17M. FolignoL123+210.03115—14:26
21E. FehrC000-210.180003308:07
49V. RaskC000-100.00000007:15
37K. RauC000-110.12210006:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)18162.8891.49-0.5159:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).