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Ducks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
FinalTV PRIME, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 3:02 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 25, TOR 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.0 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Muzzin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Andreas Johnsson (2 G, 2 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Muzzin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Johnsson2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    F. Andersen24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0801017125
TORTOR013319312644

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(31)
    A. Johnsson (13), F. Gauthier (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:02
  2. TOR
    A. Johnsson(11)
    P. Marleau (14), J. Muzzin (18)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    13:40
  3. TOR
    J. Muzzin(5)PPG
    J. Gardiner (25), A. Johnsson (14)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    19:57

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(9)
    H. Lindholm (16), J. Manson (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    2:45
  2. TOR
    C. Brown(5)
    W. Nylander (7), J. Muzzin (19)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:16
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(2)
    Z. Hyman (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    6:04
  4. TOR
    A. Johnsson(12)
    Z. Hyman (12), J. Tavares (25)
    wristxG 0.03
    1-6
    14:51

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:53TORZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

2nd

  • 11:30ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 19:53ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min

3rd

  • 8:37ANANick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalANA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, 2nd 3:02 — TOR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.26P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.18K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.14F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.13F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12F. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.12C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · Goal · xG 0.06F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.03P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.03P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.00C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR6 G · 3.7 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsTOR
1.81 G
All situations
6 G3.7
1.81 G
Even strength
5 G3.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA21%79%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 3.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsTOR
25
Shots on goal
44
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
36
Hits
11
20
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-120.08130—23:03
26B. MontourD000-330.14130—22:47
42J. MansonD011-310.05110—21:43
47H. LindholmD011-220.06312—18:43
15R. GetzlafC000-110.084302917:11
5K. HolzerD000000.00210—16:06
67R. RakellR101-120.2320010016:05
10C. PerryR000030.22200—15:44
44M. Del ZottoD000010.04210—15:41
11D. SprongR000-110.00000—15:26
37N. RitchieL000-100.00214—15:09
24C. RowneyC000-100.004105514:41
14A. HenriqueC000010.111205014:36
38D. GrantC000-230.073002014:26
18P. EavesR000010.30200—14:07
29D. ShoreC000-110.04200013:48
33J. SilfverbergR000-220.34120—13:35
17R. KeslerC000-110.043105513:05
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)35305.8572.98-2.0246:22
1C. Johnson981.8890.75-0.2513:38

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).