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Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 9-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 8-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 5:26 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 67% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 29, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.3 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (3 G, 1 A), 2. Bryan Little (2 G, 1 A), 3. Mason Appleton (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Roslovic3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Little2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Appleton2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0429116329
WPGWPG61421017931

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:07
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:26
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    12:04
  4. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    15:18
  5. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    16:33
  6. WPG
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    0-6
    17:41

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    1:32
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    13:54
  3. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    2-7
    14:42
  4. WPG
    B. Little (21), J. Trouba (24)
    wristxG 0.06
    2-8
    19:39

3rd period

  1. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.06
    2-9
    0:54
  2. ANA
    deflectedxG 0.06
    3-9
    12:17

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:34ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 15:18ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 10:22ANADerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 18:12ANADaniel Sprong · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

  • 3:55WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalANA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 1st 5:26 — WPG 67% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.22T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.20B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10B. Little · Goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06B. Little · Goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · Goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG9 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWPG
1.83 G
All situations
9 G2.9
1.73 G
Even strength
6 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
3 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA30%70%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWPG
29
Shots on goal
31
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011020.06000—22:15
26B. MontourD000-330.08020—22:09
42J. MansonD000010.01110—22:09
47H. LindholmD000-310.02000—20:52
15R. GetzlafC000010.010006117:10
67R. RakellR000030.12000—17:00
29D. ShoreC101-210.0721010016:34
10C. PerryR000040.34000—16:29
5K. HolzerD011010.02220—15:40
44M. Del ZottoD011030.17100—15:19
38D. GrantC000+110.071026414:36
37N. RitchieL112+110.34302—14:28
14A. HenriqueC000-210.170005514:25
33J. SilfverbergR011-210.02022—14:18
24C. RowneyC000-230.140004613:19
11D. SprongR101+120.17002—13:15
23B. GibbonsC000-200.01100012:00
18P. EavesR000-200.03110—11:28
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. Johnson17143.8241.74-1.2642:19
36J. Gibson(L)1486.5711.19-4.8117:41

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).