Skip to content

Utah Mammoth at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FS-A, SN1·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Reilly's goal at 4:48 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — ARI 1.2, MTL 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 31, MTL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.5 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 30 of 31 (.968). Three stars: 1. Joel Armia, 2. Tomas Tatar (1 A), 3. Carey Price (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Armia
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Price30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI08113010131
MTLMTL1601117224

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Drouin(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    9:29

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    18:28

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry (25), C. Hudon (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +26 pts
    1-2
    4:48

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:39ARIMario Kempe · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Peca2 min

2nd

  • 9:11MTLCharles Hudon · Holding the stickdrawn by Mario Kempe2 min
  • 12:00ARIMario Kempe · Holding the stickdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 16:40MTLMike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 14:19MTLJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalARI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Reilly, 3rd 4:48 — MTL 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.21C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.13T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.10V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.09C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.05S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Goal · xG 0.03C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMTL
1.21 G
All situations
2 G1.5
0.80 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI45%55%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMTL
31
Shots on goal
24
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
33
20
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000-150.04030—23:53
9C. KellerR011030.35000—21:41
6J. ChychrunD000040.05010—21:29
17A. GalchenyukC000020.172304621:11
82J. OesterleD000000.00010—20:49
25N. CousinsC011030.083206420:18
21D. StepanC000030.080106219:13
44K. ConnautonD000010.03420—18:37
14R. PanikR000010.01010—16:58
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.00110—16:43
13V. HinostrozaC000010.02000016:11
83C. GarlandR101-130.28100—14:50
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.01630—13:11
67L. CrouseL000010.0132010012:29
45J. ArchibaldR000010.10400—12:18
29M. KempeR000000.000045010:08
10J. WealC000-110.010006008:55
36C. FischerR000-100.00000—08:43
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)24222.9171.47-0.5359:33

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).