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St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FS-MW, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Wagner's goal at 5:27 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 30, BOS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Krejci (3 A), 2. Chris Wagner (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zdeno Chara (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Krejci3 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Wagner1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    Z. Chara1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL09211010230
BOSBOS0132836527

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:31
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:23
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:36
  4. BOS
    D. Backes(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    16:00

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:27
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:12
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.61
    2-5
    19:08

Penalties

STL 9 PIM·BOS 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:53BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 17:30BOSZdeno Chara · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 17:30STLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Zdeno Chara5 min

2nd

  • 1:01BOSPeter Cehlarik · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 14:03STLRobert Bortuzzo · Cross checkingdrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 16:40BOSChris Wagner · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 18:11STLserved by P. Maroon · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalSTL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Wagner, 3rd 5:27 — BOS 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.81S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.61C. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.14D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10J. Forsbacka Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.10D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.07P. Cehlarik · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.06T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.05P. Cehlarik · Missed · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03P. Cehlarik · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Cehlarik · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01
BOS5 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsBOS
2.62 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL58%42%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
29
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
15
25
Giveaways
13
15
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90R. O'ReillyC101-150.830005724:00
91V. TarasenkoR000-220.38000—23:59
27A. PietrangeloD000-240.25010—22:30
57D. PerronL011010.2800010022:28
17J. SchwartzL011-220.09000—22:26
19J. BouwmeesterD000020.04120—21:15
10B. SchennC011-220.317103821:13
55C. ParaykoD000-120.06420—20:04
70O. SundqvistC000010.084004020:01
49I. BarbashevL000-200.001002015:12
4C. GunnarssonD101020.08020—13:18
6J. EdmundsonD000+100.00310—13:12
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.00312—12:32
7P. MaroonL000010.03305—11:30
29V. DunnD000-240.12100—09:56
15R. FabbriC000000.00110009:15
33J. KyrouR011+100.00000—08:26
9S. BlaisL000020.09100—07:14
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)26224.8462.12-1.8857:32

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).