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Wild at Flyers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
4
Philadelphia Flyers
▸7
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Minnesota Wild 7-4. The Flyers came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nolan Patrick's goal at 15:28 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 38, PHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.6 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Nolan Patrick (2 G, 2 A), 2. James van Riemsdyk (3 G), 3. Wayne Simmonds (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Patrick2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk3 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    W. Simmonds2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN212112114438
PHIPHI2143627727

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(13)PPG
    N. Niederreiter (14), M. Koivu (21)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    7:34
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(2)
    M. Hendricks (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:26
  3. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(9)PPG
    J. Voracek (26), S. Couturier (19)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    12:04
  4. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(10)
    C. Giroux (35), R. Gudas (10)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    18:48

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(3)
    E. Staal (15), J. Brodin (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:23
  2. PHI
    N. Patrick(6)
    S. Laughton (9), I. Provorov (11)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    4:59
  3. PHI
    N. Patrick(7)
    T. Sanheim (10), S. Gostisbehere (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    3-4
    15:28
  4. PHI
    W. Simmonds(14)
    S. Laughton (10), N. Patrick (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-5
    19:54

3rd period

  1. MIN
    R. Suter(5)
    E. Staal (16), Z. Parise (22)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +13 pts
    4-5
    8:18
  2. PHI
    W. Simmonds(15)
    S. Laughton (11), N. Patrick (8)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    4-6
    10:43
  3. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(11)EN
    C. Giroux (36), R. Gudas (11)
    wristxG 0.95win prob +1 pts
    4-7
    18:43

Penalties

MIN 12 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:08PHIWayne Simmonds · Slashingdrawn by Greg Pateryn2 min
  • 11:09MINGreg Pateryn · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 12:04MINserved by J. Greenway · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 16:13MINMikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

2nd

  • 8:22MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 15:59PHIScott Laughton · Interferencedrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min
  • 15:59MINDevan Dubnyk · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 6:01PHIClaude Giroux · Holding the stickdrawn by Greg Pateryn2 min
  • 12:33MINRyan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 19:10PHIRobert Hagg · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMIN goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Nolan Patrick, 2nd 15:28 — PHI 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.95W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.16S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.11N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.06M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI7 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsPHI
3.74 G
All situations
6 G2.7
2.93 G
Even strength
5 G1.3
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN81%19%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsPHI
38
Shots on goal
27
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD101-240.83002—29:07
46J. SpurgeonD000-210.28330—26:32
25J. BrodinD011+100.02110—20:09
9M. KoivuC011030.200102519:59
64M. GranlundC000030.40022019:17
29G. PaterynD000040.12202—18:58
11Z. PariseL011-240.12000—17:30
12E. StaalC022020.411006016:53
16J. ZuckerL101-120.57100—16:12
3C. CoyleC000-430.200104015:29
19L. KuninC000-420.0700010015:28
17M. FolignoL101+130.26302—12:56
22N. NiederreiterR011-120.13000—12:26
14J. Eriksson EkC101020.052003611:46
39N. ProsserD000-120.04210—11:19
36N. SeelerD000-110.02300—10:12
15M. HendricksC011+100.00300009:05
18J. GreenwayL000-100.00000—08:14
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)20155.7501.42-3.5840:00
32A. Stalock651.8330.31-0.6917:33

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).