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Coyotes at Oilers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV FS-A, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Russell's goal at 17:00 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 31% to 53%. Expected goals were close — ARI 2.3, EDM 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 29, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (2 G), 2. Alex Galchenyuk (2 A), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Garland2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Galchenyuk2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0132917329
EDMEDM1111707225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(27)
    T. Rattie (6)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:46

2nd period

  1. ARI
    J. Oesterle(3)
    L. Crouse (4), M. Kempe (2)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:16
  2. ARI
    C. Garland(7)PPG
    J. Oesterle (7), A. Galchenyuk (16)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:08
  3. EDM
    K. Russell(2)
    Z. Kassian (4), R. Nugent-Hopkins (26)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:00

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Garland(8)PPG
    C. Keller (22), A. Galchenyuk (17)
    slapxG 0.22win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    1:54

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:16EDMserved by T. Rattie · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 17:40ARIMario Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

3rd

  • 1:50EDMKyle Brodziak · Trippingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 20:00ARILawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 20:00EDMAlex Chiasson · Roughingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalARI goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Kris Russell, 2nd 17:00 — EDM 31% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.25A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.21C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.16J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.13A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Russell · Goal · xG 0.11K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.10A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.06T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.06K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.03K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM2 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsEDM
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI54%46%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
41
Hits
40
19
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
18
10
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-120.02300—24:44
82J. OesterleD112+130.20380—21:10
4N. HjalmarssonD000000.00050—21:03
33A. GoligoskiD000+100.04220—20:54
21D. StepanC000040.092003119:38
14R. PanikR000030.17210—19:16
13V. HinostrozaC000030.33210018:08
6J. ChychrunD000-230.23210—17:19
9C. KellerR011030.4000010017:08
45J. ArchibaldR000010.00500—14:55
26J. WealC000000.001006914:51
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.01300—14:50
29M. KempeR011000.006125014:27
36C. FischerR000-100.12200—14:22
67L. CrouseL011010.096023314:22
17A. GalchenyukC022-100.000008612:07
25N. CousinsC000-110.072002010:19
83C. GarlandR202050.50000—08:27
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)25232.9202.11+0.1160:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).