Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Shea Theodore scoring at 1:19. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 1:19 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were VGK 34, CHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.4 goals below expected; Collin Delia stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G), 2. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex DeBrincat (2 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Theodore1 G

- ★★A. Tuch1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. DeBrincat2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-14:36
0-215:20
2nd period
1-21:34
1-37:22
2-319:06
3rd period
3-315:56
Overtime
4-31:19
Penalties
1st
- 14:16
Oscar Lindberg · High stickingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
- 16:36
Artem Anisimov · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
2nd
- 2:49
Shea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
- 4:58
Jon Merrill · High sticking double minordrawn by Brandon Saad4 min
- 13:13
Connor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Shea Theodore, OT 1:19 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.6
- 1.74 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.1
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 30
- Hits
- 30
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 8
- Giveaways
- 10
- 8
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
