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Panthers at Flames
NHL

Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV FS-F, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 8:29 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 27, CGY 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.2 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Frolik (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mikael Backlund (1 A), 3. David Rittich (24 saves, .889).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Frolik1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich24 saves, .889

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11015112327
CGYCGY04210210424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:18

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(12)PPG
    K. Yandle (30), R. Luongo (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    0:20
  2. CGY
    M. Frolik(11)
    M. Backlund (13), O. Kylington (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    10:14
  3. CGY
    M. Giordano(7)
    M. Frolik (3), T. Hamonic (9)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:10

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(21)
    M. Frolik (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    8:29
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(24)EN
    J. Gaudreau (41), E. Lindholm (31)
    wristxG 0.87win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    18:33
  3. FLA
    E. Dadonov(18)
    F. Vatrano (7), A. Barkov (27)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    3-4
    19:40

Penalties

FLA 22 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:18CGYDavid Rittich · Delaying gamedrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 19:30CGYTravis Hamonic · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

3rd

  • 18:11FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:33FLAKeith Yandle · Misconductdrawn by Sean Monahan10 min
  • 18:33FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalFLA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 8:29 — CGY 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.87M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.32M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.20S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.18M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.12S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.12T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frolik · Goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02A. Czarnik · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCGY
1.93 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA54%46%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
24
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/1
22
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
15
24
Blocked shots
6
24
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+110.10410—23:23
19M. MathesonD000010.01130—23:01
16A. BarkovC011-100.000205021:57
3K. YandleD011-130.081310—21:46
11J. HuberdeauL101-240.360312—20:17
68M. HoffmanC101+220.31100020:09
63E. DadonovL101020.15020—19:51
62D. MalginC000+130.26100018:13
52M. WeegarD000000.00130—17:55
95H. BorgstromC000+130.190003316:36
13M. PysykD000-110.02210—16:02
55B. KiselevichD000-110.03220—15:23
72F. VatranoR011+120.25120—13:51
22T. BrouwerR000-100.00300—13:17
91J. LammikkoC000010.013004511:44
7C. SceviourC000-100.050006710:05
8J. HawrylukR000-110.09310—09:12
18M. HaleyL000-120.04110—08:11
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)23203.8701.77-1.2358:45

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).