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Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FS-N, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 1-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 6:58 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were MIN 25, MTL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Carey Price (24 saves, .960), 3. Mikael Granlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Price24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Granlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0905111125
MTLMTL011011010032

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +29 pts
    1-0
    6:58

Penalties

MIN 25 PIM·MTL 26 PIM

1st

  • 2:28MINNick Seeler · Instigatordrawn by Kenny Agostino2 min
  • 2:28MINNick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Kenny Agostino5 min
  • 2:28MINNick Seeler · Misconduct10 min
  • 2:28MTLKenny Agostino · Interferencedrawn by Eric Fehr5 min
  • 2:28MTLKenny Agostino · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 2:28MTLKenny Agostino · Game misconduct10 min
  • 7:00MINJason Zucker · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 11:28MINJonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:23MINMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

2nd

  • 1:26MTLCarey Price · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min

3rd

  • 3:24MTLMike Reilly · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min
  • 15:39MTLMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Greg Pateryn2 min
  • 15:39MINGreg Pateryn · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalMIN goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, 3rd 6:58 — MIN 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.08M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.07P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 1.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsMTL
1.81 G
All situations
0 G1.3
0.81 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN58%42%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 1.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
32
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/3
25
Penalty minutes
26
20
Hits
28
19
Blocked shots
21
10
Giveaways
14
13
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+110.00010—32:36
46J. SpurgeonD000+120.19140—26:19
3C. CoyleC000010.212105621:45
25J. BrodinD000010.02002—21:11
12E. StaalC000+120.340104220:30
11Z. PariseL000010.16120—20:15
9M. KoivuC000030.101106318:59
29G. PaterynD000020.03232—18:52
64M. GranlundC101+110.1200210018:44
16J. ZuckerL000030.29302—17:47
19L. KuninC000020.0531010016:43
22N. NiederreiterR000020.09400—14:28
18J. GreenwayL000+120.19020—12:12
39N. ProsserD000000.00110—08:57
17M. FolignoL000000.0010010007:18
36N. SeelerD000000.000217—07:07
23J. BrownR000020.02100—05:55
21E. FehrC000000.0000010000:25
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)323201.0001.32+1.3259:55

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).