Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 6:28 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were TBL 33, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A

- ★★S. Stamkos1 G, 2 A

- ★★★B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-06:28
2-07:53
3-014:05
2nd period
4-00:25
4-17:55
5-117:05
3rd period
6-110:04
6-217:36
Penalties
1st
- 2:55
Cedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
- 2:55
Dion Phaneuf · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
- 5:20
Brendan Leipsic · High sticking double minordrawn by Braydon Coburn4 min
- 6:11
Dustin Brown · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
2nd
- 2:22
Mikhail Sergachev · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
- 15:27
Anze Kopitar · High stickingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 18:28
Anthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min
- 18:28
Nate Thompson · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 18:28
served by M. Joseph · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 7:29
Ryan McDonagh · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
- 12:50
Mikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
- 16:57
Ondrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 6:28 — 52% → 64%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.26 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.1
- 2.63 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 1.53 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.17 – 2.02
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 3/4
- Power play
- 1/5
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 16
- Hits
- 23
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 7
- Giveaways
- 15
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 2-0
6@
2this game
3@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
