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Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV SN, SN360·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Elias Pettersson scoring at 1:38. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 1:38 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were VAN 45, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Marcus Hogberg stopped 41 of 45 (.911). Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (3 G), 2. Alexander Edler (3 A), 3. Marcus Hogberg (41 saves, .911).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson3 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    A. Edler3 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Hogberg41 saves, .911

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN01721311411445
OTTOTT0511221501333

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    A. Edler (13), B. Horvat (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    8:48
  2. OTT
    M. Duchene(16)PPG
    B. Ryan (16), M. Stone (26)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    12:27
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser (13), A. Edler (14)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:26

3rd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    5:00
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-2
    10:51
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:10

Overtime

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:38

Penalties

VAN 11 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:25OTTMark Borowiecki · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 11:40OTTBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Tim Schaller5 min
  • 11:40VANTim Schaller · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min
  • 19:42OTTMark Stone · Interferencedrawn by Markus Granlund2 min

2nd

  • 6:53OTTRyan Dzingel · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 11:09VANTyler Motte · Trippingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min

3rd

  • 3:04OTTBen Harpur · Trippingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
  • 9:54OTTDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 10:42VANBen Hutton · Slashingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 15:38VANChris Tanev · Slashingdrawn by Colin White2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVAN goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, OT 1:38 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.24M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.19B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.16M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.16C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.13C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.12B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.11R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09C. Wolanin · Goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07C. White · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rodewald · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01S. Elliott · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.00M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsOTT
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN63%37%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsOTT
45
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/5
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
15
24
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
20
11
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53B. HorvatC011-220.210204223:56
23A. EdlerD033030.06210—23:55
40E. PetterssonC303+260.440005322:16
8C. TanevD011+130.11122—19:32
27B. HuttonD000020.03112—19:04
21L. ErikssonL000020.04000—18:47
44E. GudbransonD000020.07120—17:31
6B. BoeserR022+170.59000—17:18
51T. StecherD000-110.02020—17:14
5D. PouliotD000-100.01120—16:31
83J. BeagleC000-110.062304415:57
26A. RousselL000-150.53420—15:56
18J. VirtanenR000040.55100—15:45
47S. BaertschiL112+120.27100—14:39
60M. GranlundC000010.110005014:35
64T. MotteC000000.124025013:22
59T. SchallerL000020.16505—10:26
17J. LeivoL000020.21100—02:52
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)33303.9092.77-0.2361:38

Season series

VAN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).