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Flyers at Predators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
0
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 2:03 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 32, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Michal Neuvirth stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.1 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Viktor Arvidsson (2 G), 3. Craig Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI01301207032
NSHNSH0621628430

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(11)
    K. Fiala (15)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:03
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(10)
    R. Johansen (28), R. Hartman (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:03

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(11)
    R. Ellis (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    6:15
  2. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(3)
    Z. Rinaldo (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    11:37

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:38NSHP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 16:02NSHKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 0:22PHIMichael Raffl · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:17PHIMichael Raffl · Holdingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalPHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 2nd 2:03 — NSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.17R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNSH
2.70 G
All situations
4 G1.9
2.20 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI64%36%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
30
73%
Faceoffs
27%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-220.18200—22:20
28C. GirouxR000-210.310006421:27
6T. SanheimD000-200.00050—20:42
8R. HaggD000-120.03410—19:23
53S. GostisbehereD000-210.15240—19:22
14S. CouturierC000-140.530106718:00
47A. MacDonaldD000-120.03030—17:57
3R. GudasD000010.05300—17:38
93J. VoracekR000-130.23000—17:13
25J. van RiemsdykL000-120.11020—16:00
21S. LaughtonC000-130.1810010015:42
17W. SimmondsR000-120.23200—15:32
11T. KonecnyR000-240.26100—15:03
40J. WealC000-100.011008014:16
12M. RafflL000-110.1100410013:51
23O. LindblomL000-110.03000—11:15
22D. WeiseR000010.08000—11:10
44P. VaroneC000020.180007810:03
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Neuvirth(L)30264.8671.90-2.1059:23

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).