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Montréal Canadiens at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV FS-SW+, TSN2·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Jeff Petry scoring at 0:14. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Petry's goal at 0:14 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.1 to 3.2; shots on goal were MTL 38, DAL 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Antti Niemi stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Jeff Petry (1 G), 2. Phillip Danault (2 G), 3. Jamie Benn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Petry1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    P. Danault2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL11601011111338
DALDAL01122401200247

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Kulak (3), J. Benn (6)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:35

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:02
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(16)PPG
    snapxG 0.41win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    16:34

3rd period

  1. MTL
    S. Weber (6), T. Tatar (17)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    9:17

Overtime

  1. MTL
    P. Byron (6), M. Domi (23)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:14

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:28DALConnor Carrick · Holding the stickdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 8:22MTLJeff Petry · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 9:57DALJason Spezza · Trippingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
  • 15:38MTLJordie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Petry, OT 0:14 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.41T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.27J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.24R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.21R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.21T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.19A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.18M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.17J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.17M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.13R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.13M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.08B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.00V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 4.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDAL
3.23 G
All situations
2 G4.1
3.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL37%63%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDAL
38
Shots on goal
47
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
22
22
Blocked shots
25
15
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD011+120.16220—26:02
26J. PetryD101020.44332—21:30
90T. TatarL011+130.15110—20:18
53V. MeteD000+120.21040—18:55
13M. DomiC011+110.021304718:41
8J. BennD011+120.02032—18:34
28M. ReillyD000-130.18010—17:38
62A. LehkonenL000-130.08000—17:22
41P. ByronL011+110.065003317:16
24P. DanaultC202+260.611006816:52
17B. KulakD011+100.00130—16:44
47K. AgostinoL000020.43200—16:34
92J. DrouinL000020.16010—16:11
11B. GallagherR000+230.33110—15:50
15J. KotkaniemiC000-140.210006713:13
20N. DeslauriersL000010.15200—12:21
43M. ChaputC000010.031005711:36
65A. ShawR000000.00100—02:09
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Niemi(W)47452.9574.06+2.0660:14

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).