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Senators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸6
FinalTV FS-O, TSN5·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Werenski's goal at 17:59 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 25, CBJ 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (2 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Werenski (2 G), 3. Ryan Dzingel (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    R. Dzingel2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0511327325
CBJCBJ07114517638

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(14)
    C. Tierney (20), B. Ryan (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    8:15
  2. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(8)
    A. Panarin (30), P. Dubois (19)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    9:36

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    P. Dubois(15)
    C. Atkinson (17), S. Jones (17)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    3:59
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois(16)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    11:15
  3. OTT
    B. Ryan(7)
    M. Borowiecki (3), M. Boedker (18)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:36
  4. OTT
    R. Dzingel(15)
    M. Duchene (23), D. DeMelo (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:34
  5. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(9)
    C. Atkinson (18), P. Dubois (20)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +42 pts
    3-4
    17:59
  6. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(24)EN
    A. Panarin (31), R. Murray (17)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    19:00
  7. CBJ
    J. Anderson(14)EN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.38
    3-6
    19:34

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·CBJ 13 PIM

2nd

  • 6:10OTTMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 6:10CBJJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 6:10CBJJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 10:32CBJMarkus Hannikainen · Holding the stickdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 15:53OTTBen Harpur · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 17:08CBJArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

3rd

  • 1:14OTTMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 5:19CBJLukas Sedlak · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 5:19OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalOTT goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Werenski, 3rd 17:59 — CBJ 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.92J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.38Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.19A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.19A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.18M. Hannikainen · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.13S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.12S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.12S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.07B. Dubinsky · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hannikainen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.05L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.04D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hannikainen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ6 G · 4.7 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCBJ
2.63 G
All situations
4 G4.7
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT37%63%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCBJ
25
Shots on goal
38
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
13
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD000-520.06120—25:43
67B. HarpurD000-310.02112—25:13
2D. DeMeloD011+100.00110—21:03
61M. StoneR000-220.4314010020:48
71C. TierneyC011010.090005320:28
95M. DucheneC011-250.290004318:35
36C. WhiteC000-330.270004618:02
7B. TkachukL000-210.47102—16:48
18R. DzingelC202040.43010016:16
58M. LajoieD000-110.06120—15:45
74M. BorowieckiD011010.03417—15:19
15Z. SmithC000-110.201004414:27
89M. BoedkerL011000.00000—13:35
86C. WolaninD000000.00020—13:34
9B. RyanR112+120.22000—13:33
53J. RodewaldR000000.00000—09:46
10T. PyattL000000.000005008:29
13N. PaulL000010.02200—07:19
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Hogberg(L)36324.8893.41-0.5959:17

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).