Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 8:54 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 55% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 28, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Antti Niemi stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G), 2. Tomas Tatar (2 G), 3. Henrik Borgstrom (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Lehkonen1 G

- ★★T. Tatar2 G

- ★★★H. Borgstrom1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-00:35
2-02:51
2-18:01
2-213:53
3rd period
3-28:54
4-215:40
4-318:44
5-319:37
Penalties
1st
- 16:57
Troy Brouwer · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
2nd
- 0:16
Phillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
- 4:26
Max Domi · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
3rd
- 6:49
Frank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Michael Chaput2 min
- 8:08
MacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 17:39
Phillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
- 17:39
Phillip Danault · Fightingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad5 min
- 17:39
Aaron Ekblad · Fightingdrawn by Phillip Danault5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 3rd 8:54 — 55% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.04 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.8
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.1
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.77
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 28
- Hits
- 20
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 5
- Giveaways
- 11
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
