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Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV PRIME, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brent Burns's goal at 10:21 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 27, SJS 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Martin Jones stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Brent Burns (1 G), 2. Melker Karlsson (1 G), 3. Barclay Goodrow (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    B. Burns1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Karlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    B. Goodrow3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1120817227
SJSSJS116111212439

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    10:33
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:05

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:44

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:53
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.03win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:21
  3. SJS
    T. Hertl(13)EN
    wristxG 0.75win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:37

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·SJS 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:23SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:59ANAJakob Silfverberg · Trippingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min
  • 9:30SJSMarcus Sorensen · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 6:10ANAJacob Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 9:03SJSMelker Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 16:10SJSRadim Simek · Roughingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 16:10ANADaniel Sprong · Roughingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min
  • 18:23SJSBarclay Goodrow · Slashingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min

3rd

  • 10:21ANAJakob Silfverberg · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalANA goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Brent Burns, 3rd 10:21 — SJS 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.75J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.26E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.22T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.21M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.19M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.14L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.08M. Sorensen · Goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.01J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 3.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSJS
1.82 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA38%62%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSJS
27
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
10
15
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26B. MontourD000-220.06030—26:14
47H. LindholmD000-120.07010—23:00
42J. MansonD011010.01410—22:56
20P. AbergL000-110.20100—20:34
15R. GetzlafC000-110.061104420:11
32J. LarssonD000+110.01012—18:51
11D. SprongR000-230.21202—17:17
14A. HenriqueC000000.090005017:05
17R. KeslerC000-120.120104716:47
76J. MahuraD011-200.00000—16:06
25O. KaseR000010.0211010015:59
33J. SilfverbergR101-230.3800410014:07
37N. RitchieL011010.01010—14:04
7A. CoglianoC000040.06000012:39
24C. RowneyC011-120.151107111:57
64K. SherwoodL101020.24000—10:02
23B. GibbonsC000-210.13000008:12
21J. DotchinD000-200.00200—06:44
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. Johnson(L)22202.9091.85-0.1539:15
36J. Gibson16151.9380.65-0.3520:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).