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Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dustin Brown's goal at 0:17 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals were close — ARI 1.8, LAK 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 27, LAK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Jonathan Quick stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (1 G), 2. Jonathan Quick (26 saves, .963), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1801108127
LAKLAK1130518226

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    15:27
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:39

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    0:17

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:07ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 14:24LAKAnze Kopitar · Slashingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 18:45LAKIlya Kovalchuk · Interferencedrawn by Richard Panik2 min

2nd

  • 14:14LAKAustin Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 14:14ARINick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 14:14LAKAustin Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 6:28ARIJordan Oesterle · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalARI goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Dustin Brown, 3rd 0:17 — LAK 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.14I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.08O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.08M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.07I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02P. LaDue · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 1.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsLAK
1.81 G
All situations
2 G1.5
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI55%45%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
26
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-220.10100—24:49
21D. StepanC000-140.391006323:11
9C. KellerR000-130.200007521:48
6J. ChychrunD101020.17232—21:23
33A. GoligoskiD000010.00000—21:09
14R. PanikR000-130.18000—20:17
4N. HjalmarssonD000-200.00020—19:40
8N. SchmaltzC000000.000004419:03
17A. GalchenyukC011030.110005016:31
82J. OesterleD000010.07022—15:06
45J. ArchibaldR000-120.09540—13:33
46I. LyubushkinD000010.03210—13:24
36C. FischerR000000.00000—12:53
67L. CrouseL000-110.21100—11:59
83C. GarlandR011020.19000—11:41
25N. CousinsC000-120.021023811:40
29M. KempeR000000.006104310:10
58M. BuntingL000000.01100—09:36
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)26242.9231.52-0.4858:07

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).