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Lightning at Oilers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV ESPN+, SUN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The Oilers scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 14:32 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 6.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 45, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Mikko Koskinen stopped 39 of 44 (.886). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 4 A), 2. Connor McDavid (3 A), 3. Steven Stamkos (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL116214315645
EDMEDM1811119328

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(12)
    C. McDavid (31), J. Puljujarvi (2)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:15
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(19)PPG
    N. Kucherov (38), V. Hedman (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    17:09

2nd period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(16)PPG
    D. Nurse (11), C. McDavid (32)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    2:50
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(16)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.38win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    13:00
  3. TBL
    J. Miller(7)
    E. Cernak (6), A. Killorn (12)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    14:32

3rd period

  1. TBL
    T. Johnson(15)
    B. Point (25), N. Kucherov (39)
    slapxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    4:17
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(17)PPG
    C. McDavid (33), R. Nugent-Hopkins (21)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    4-3
    6:17
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(20)
    N. Kucherov (40), A. Stralman (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    5-3
    15:03
  4. TBL
    T. Johnson(16)EN
    N. Kucherov (41), B. Point (26)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    18:35

Penalties

TBL 22 PIM·EDM 20 PIM

1st

  • 16:14EDMTobias Rieder · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 19:37TBLBrayden Point · Roughingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 19:37EDMAlex Chiasson · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

2nd

  • 1:29TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 16:29EDMAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 5:53TBLRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 9:15TBLRyan Callahan · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:15TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 19:15EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 19:15EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 19:15TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 19:15EDMZack Kassian · Game misconductdrawn by Cedric Paquette10 min
  • 19:15TBLCedric Paquette · Game misconductdrawn by Zack Kassian10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalTBL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 2nd 14:32 — TBL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.04M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Garrison · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsEDM
6.05 G
All situations
3 G2.9
5.14 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL82%18%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.32 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsEDM
45
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
2/3
22
Penalty minutes
20
22
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000+200.00232—23:48
77V. HedmanD011+240.27140—22:54
6A. StralmanD011+240.06230—21:17
86N. KucherovR145+331.04100—19:49
81E. CernakD011+210.07610—19:27
91S. StamkosC202+130.610125818:13
21B. PointC022+240.860225718:08
37Y. GourdeC000010.010006017:08
98M. SergachevD000030.35100—16:53
9T. JohnsonC202+320.771003315:51
71A. CirelliC000+120.170005715:45
18O. PalatL000020.24310—15:30
17A. KillornL011+140.26000—14:14
10J. MillerC101+130.730003312:56
55B. CoburnD000040.11100—12:50
13C. PaquetteC000000.0020146011:29
62D. MartelL000030.23100—09:11
24R. CallahanR000020.17112—08:52
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)28253.8932.92-0.0860:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).