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Senators at Devils
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

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Ottawa Senators
2
New Jersey Devils
▸5
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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 10:54 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 27, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.6 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (2 G, 2 A), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Hall2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0721406227
NJDNJD21131407532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(5)SHG
    B. Boyle (4)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:03
  2. NJD
    K. Palmieri(18)
    T. Hall (25), N. Hischier (14)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:54

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(13)PPG
    M. Stone (24), T. Chabot (27)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    2:20
  2. NJD
    T. Hall(10)PPG
    K. Palmieri (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    4:07
  3. NJD
    T. Hall(11)
    K. Palmieri (15)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    5:19
  4. OTT
    M. Duchene(14)
    B. Ryan (13), C. Jaros (4)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    11:53
  5. NJD
    N. Hischier(9)
    T. Hall (26), W. Butcher (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    18:58

Penalties

OTT 18 PIM·NJD 22 PIM

1st

  • 0:59NJDMiles Wood · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Craig Anderson2 min
  • 18:34OTTRyan Dzingel · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 1:52NJDMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
  • 3:56OTTBen Harpur · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 11:58OTTZack Smith · High stickingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 11:58NJDBrett Seney · Roughingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 16:21NJDBrett Seney · Slashingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 5:47NJDJohn Quenneville · Holdingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 7:54NJDKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 13:53NJDMiles Wood · Misconductdrawn by Mark Borowiecki10 min
  • 13:53OTTMark Borowiecki · Misconductdrawn by Miles Wood10 min
  • 17:36OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalOTT goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 1st 10:54 — NJD 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.28B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.21N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.18T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.15K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.15M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.08D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Quenneville · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.06D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.03S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.03W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNJD
2.02 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT35%65%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
1/3
18
Penalty minutes
22
10
Hits
22
4
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-210.08100—22:59
61M. StoneR011-110.17000—22:40
95M. DucheneC202050.600005419:42
36C. WhiteC000-200.020005719:31
18R. DzingelC000010.06002019:06
5C. CeciD000-100.02000—18:40
71C. TierneyC000000.080005018:33
7B. TkachukL000-130.21002—18:14
9B. RyanR011-120.09000—16:32
67B. HarpurD000030.04002—16:08
15Z. SmithC000-230.211225615:58
58M. LajoieD000-100.00000—15:43
89M. BoedkerL000000.00000—15:01
83C. JarosD011+140.27200—14:19
2D. DeMeloD000-100.02010—12:14
74M. BorowieckiD000-120.086010—11:56
56M. PaajarviL000-110.02010—09:08
10T. PyattL000-110.040005007:41
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)25205.8002.41-2.5939:44
33M. McKenna7701.0000.34+0.3420:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).