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Kings at Penguins
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Final/OTTV NHLN-US, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Phil Kessel scoring at 3:59. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 3:59 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.6, PIT 2.7; shots on goal were LAK 41, PIT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (1 G), 2. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Iafallo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Kessel1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Iafallo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK0152911304341
PITPIT2121130813436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    M. Cullen(3)SHG
    B. Rust (7), J. Johnson (7)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    6:58
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(5)
    S. Crosby (20), J. Guentzel (15)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:04

2nd period

  1. LAK
    J. Muzzin(3)
    A. Kopitar (13), A. Iafallo (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:22
  2. PIT
    T. Pearson(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:29
  3. LAK
    M. Luff(7)
    A. Wagner (4), D. Doughty (16)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    10:06

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Iafallo(6)PPG
    A. Kempe (6), J. Muzzin (10)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +31 pts
    3-3
    12:30

Overtime

  1. PIT
    P. Kessel(14)PPG
    E. Malkin (25), O. Maatta (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:59

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:19PITDerek Grant · Slashingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 5:22PITOlli Maatta · Interferencedrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 10:02LAKserved by B. Leipsic · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:40LAKDustin Brown · High stickingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min

3rd

  • 10:39PITGarrett Wilson · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

OT

  • 3:25LAKBrendan Leipsic · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalLAK goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Phil Kessel, OT 3:59 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.23M. Cullen · Goal · xG 0.22P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.17B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.15B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.05O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsPIT
2.63 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK48%52%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsPIT
41
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-340.11010—29:13
11A. KopitarC011010.001206424:11
6J. MuzzinD112+240.42420—22:37
23D. BrownR000-140.19112—22:10
24D. ForbortD000010.03520—21:43
19A. IafalloL112030.13210—20:15
77J. CarterC000060.464005017:27
7O. FantenbergD000+110.02310—16:41
73T. ToffoliC000-140.42010016:17
61S. WalkerD000+130.05400—15:34
44N. ThompsonC000020.130004315:10
9A. KempeR011-100.111002514:11
64M. LuffR101-120.17300—14:11
14B. LeipsicL000010.13302—13:25
10M. AmadioR000020.110004013:01
78D. BrickleyD000-200.00000—12:52
51A. WagnerL011000.00200—10:26
21N. ScherbakR000030.07300—08:33
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(O)36324.8892.67-1.3363:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).