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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
2
FinalTV FS-D, TSN5·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 7:08 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 32, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Michael Rasmussen (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Stone1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT21009213432
DETDET11111106228

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Tierney(4)
    R. Dzingel (11)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    8:19
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(9)
    C. White (12), M. Boedker (15)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:57
  3. DET
    L. Glendening(5)
    T. Bertuzzi (8), M. Rasmussen (5)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    18:20

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(14)
    F. Nielsen (15), N. Kronwall (6)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:08

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(16)
    C. White (13), S. Elliott (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    7:08
  2. OTT
    M. Boedker(4)EN
    C. Tierney (18), T. Chabot (26)
    tip-inxG 0.84win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    19:42

Penalties

OTT 9 PIM·DET 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:32OTTErik Burgdoerfer · Trippingdrawn by Christoffer Ehn2 min
  • 7:48DETAndreas Athanasiou · Holding the stickdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 6:52OTTBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen5 min
  • 6:52DETMichael Rasmussen · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min
  • 10:00DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
  • 19:27OTTZack Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 17:52DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 3rd 7:08 — OTT 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.19D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.18G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.15C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.11L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.11C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.05L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.05T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.05L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.04T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.04J. de la Rose · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.01T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ehn · Missed · xG 0.01T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT57%43%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
32
Shots on goal
28
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD112+140.17000—25:05
5C. CeciD000010.17130—23:09
61M. StoneR101+140.330006721:36
71C. TierneyC112030.200303520:42
9B. RyanR000000.09000—19:30
58M. LajoieD000-100.00110—18:46
36C. WhiteC022+220.510003818:11
18R. DzingelC011010.12010018:08
67B. HarpurD000+100.00155—17:19
15Z. SmithC000-130.091024616:59
7B. TkachukL000040.321006716:30
89M. BoedkerL112031.43200—16:15
42J. FalkD000020.15400—14:19
46E. BurgdoerferD000000.00602—13:02
56M. PaajarviL000-120.17200—12:37
79D. BathersonR000010.09010—11:59
13N. PaulL000010.110005006:24
29S. ElliottD011+210.01000—05:29
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)28262.9292.72+0.7260:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).