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Utah Mammoth at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV FS-A, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New York Rangers 4-3 in overtime, Derek Stepan scoring at 4:28. The Coyotes came back from three goals down. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Stepan's goal at 4:28 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 3.4; shots on goal were ARI 34, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Stepan (1 G, 1 A), 2. Clayton Keller (2 A), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Stepan1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Hayes1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI091132814434
NYRNYR2101120701330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:01
  2. NYR
    K. Hayes(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    17:26

2nd period

  1. NYR
    N. Pionk (13), K. Hayes (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob -1 pts
    0-3
    5:48
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    10:42

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    13:11
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.01win prob +39 pts
    3-3
    16:59

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:28

Penalties

ARI 24 PIM·NYR 20 PIM

1st

  • 2:05ARIJakob Chychrun · Slashingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 8:13NYRChris Kreider · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 17:00ARIBrad Richardson · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 19:11ARINick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 19:11NYRBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min

2nd

  • 5:41ARIAlex Goligoski · Slashingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 7:02NYRBrady Skjei · High stickingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 9:14NYRNeal Pionk · Fightingdrawn by Christian Fischer5 min
  • 9:14ARIChristian Fischer · Fightingdrawn by Neal Pionk5 min
  • 9:14NYRNeal Pionk · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 11:12NYRTony DeAngelo · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 12:52ARIRichard Panik · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 12:52ARIJordan Oesterle · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 14:33ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 6:26ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 9:06NYRMarc Staal · High stickingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalARI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Derek Stepan, OT 4:28 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.38J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.29M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.29K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.22J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.17B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.08B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.06M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.05B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsNYR
3.44 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.03 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.01 G
Power play
3 G2.0
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI46%54%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
3/7
24
Penalty minutes
20
21
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
18
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9C. KellerR022+130.42100—24:29
23O. Ekman-LarssonD101+140.19212—24:22
8N. SchmaltzC022+220.350104023:19
6J. ChychrunD000030.47102—21:10
44K. ConnautonD000+100.00230—20:41
21D. StepanC112+230.321105020:09
82J. OesterleD101+220.04112—19:39
14R. PanikR000+120.17102—18:38
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.02002—18:31
33A. GoligoskiD011+100.00122—17:24
83C. GarlandR000050.67000—15:35
15B. RichardsonR000030.393025314:48
25N. CousinsC011+110.09105014:09
36C. FischerR000030.09215—13:16
45J. ArchibaldR101+110.15300—13:09
67L. CrouseL000000.00100—10:10
58M. BuntingL000010.01000—06:47
29M. KempeR000000.001003306:38
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)30273.9003.76+0.7664:28

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).