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Stars at Ducks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸6
FinalTV FS-SW+, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Dallas Stars 6-3. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 12:06 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were DAL 29, ANA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Ondrej Kase (3 G), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (2 A), 3. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    O. Kase3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL05313011329
ANAANA11517414636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    O. Kase(6)
    P. Aberg (7)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:38

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(6)PPG
    J. Spezza (13), E. Lindell (9)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:01
  2. DAL
    B. Comeau(3)
    D. Shore (10), J. Dickinson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    8:07
  3. DAL
    A. Radulov(10)PPG
    T. Fedun (1), D. Shore (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    11:20
  4. ANA
    O. Kase(7)
    R. Getzlaf (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    16:30

3rd period

  1. ANA
    O. Kase(8)
    N. Ritchie (7), B. Montour (12)
    slapxG 0.26win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    10:45
  2. ANA
    B. Montour(5)
    R. Getzlaf (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
    3-4
    12:06
  3. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(9)
    A. Cogliano (6), B. Montour (13)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-5
    13:44
  4. ANA
    H. Lindholm(4)EN
    B. Montour (14)
    wristxG 0.33
    3-6
    19:29

Penalties

DAL 2 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:42ANAJake Dotchin · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

2nd

  • 4:13ANAHampus Lindholm · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 10:16ANANick Ritchie · High stickingdrawn by Taylor Fedun2 min
  • 14:17DALJoel Hanley · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, 3rd 12:06 — ANA 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.47D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.43H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.33O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.26A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.26O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.23O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.18O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.17O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.13J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.12D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.09K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.03P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03B. Street · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dotchin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dotchin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Street · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Street · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.00O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA6 G · 4.5 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
2.73 G
All situations
5 G4.5
1.51 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL40%60%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
29
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD011-320.17010—25:26
4M. HeiskanenD101-230.41000—23:14
91T. SeguinC000-150.470107121:46
14J. BennL000-210.17300—20:59
47A. RadulovR101-120.23000—20:07
42T. FedunD011020.05130—19:10
45R. PolakD000-300.02330—18:43
12R. FaksaC000000.003003316:51
39J. HanleyD000020.21012—15:58
13M. JanmarkC000-100.08100015:35
44G. BayreutherD000-210.02010—15:30
90J. SpezzaC011-320.220007115:02
16J. DickinsonC011-220.173002514:16
11M. HanzalC000-240.254107013:21
15B. ComeauL101-220.22200—13:15
17D. ShoreC022000.00000013:11
43V. NichushkinR000-210.03230—11:56
18T. PitlickC000000.00400007:21
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)35305.8573.31-1.6956:19

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).