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Panthers at Blues
NHL

Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV FS-F, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 16:05 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 25, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.4 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (2 G), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1501327325
STLSTL01009414433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(14)
    J. Huberdeau (27)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:29

3rd period

  1. STL
    I. Barbashev(4)
    R. Thomas (7), O. Sundqvist (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    1:28
  2. STL
    D. Perron(9)
    J. Schwartz (8)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:39
  3. STL
    D. Perron(10)
    J. Schwartz (9), B. Schenn (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    11:12
  4. FLA
    M. Weegar(1)
    J. McCann (6), M. Pysyk (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:46
  5. FLA
    M. Hoffman(15)
    J. Huberdeau (28), A. Barkov (17)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:14
  6. STL
    B. Schenn(7)
    A. Steen (6), V. Dunn (8)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +39 pts
    3-4
    16:05

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:39FLAMike Matheson · High sticking double minordrawn by Jaden Schwartz4 min
  • 11:29FLADryden Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min

2nd

  • 14:23STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:15STLRobert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalFLA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 3rd 16:05 — STL 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.19D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.17T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.07V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Butler · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Butler · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsSTL
1.83 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16A. BarkovC011020.150105723:42
3K. YandleD000+130.13010—22:24
11J. HuberdeauL022+110.16110—21:19
19M. MathesonD000-320.08024—20:50
63E. DadonovL101020.29020—20:35
6A. PetrovicD000-320.02120—19:54
5A. EkbladD000+220.05200—19:49
68M. HoffmanC101-110.32000019:27
52M. WeegarD101+110.0501010017:07
13M. PysykD011+120.04210—15:53
90J. McCannL011000.003003814:23
62D. MalginC000-110.100004213:51
72F. VatranoR000-130.140005013:16
7C. SceviourC000-100.07030013:13
22T. BrouwerR000-100.0010010012:03
73D. HuntL000020.10102—10:09
91J. LammikkoC000010.040005709:26
18M. HaleyL000000.08100—07:48
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)33294.8792.56-1.4458:51

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).