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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV NESN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1 in overtime, Torey Krug scoring at 3:07. The Senators scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Torey Krug's goal at 3:07 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.5, OTT 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 44, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Mike McKenna stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike McKenna (42 saves, .955), 2. Torey Krug (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tuukka Rask (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. McKenna42 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Krug1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS01211501413244
OTTOTT1110120401128

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:51

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak (15), T. Krug (15)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:49

Overtime

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    3:07

Penalties

BOS 11 PIM·OTT 21 PIM

1st

  • 18:11BOSChris Wagner · Cross checkingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 19:10BOSBrad Marchand · Elbowingdrawn by Maxime Lajoie2 min

2nd

  • 6:51BOSSean Kuraly · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min
  • 6:51OTTBen Harpur · Instigatordrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 6:51OTTBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Sean Kuraly5 min
  • 6:51OTTBen Harpur · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 0:23OTTZack Smith · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 10:22OTTMaxime Lajoie · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 11:07BOSDavid Pastrnak · Interferencedrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Torey Krug, OT 3:07 — BOS 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.25M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.24Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.20C. White · On goal · xG 0.18M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.12T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.11N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.08C. White · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07C. White · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03C. White · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
2.52 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS53%47%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
44
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
21
36
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
63B. MarchandL112+191.08202—23:39
47T. KrugD112+150.28320—22:06
88D. PastrnakR011040.32012—21:40
46D. KrejciC011+110.061103221:30
25B. CarloD000030.02410—21:17
73C. McAvoyD000-110.03330—21:16
27J. MooreD000040.04200—21:08
48M. GrzelcykD000-130.07200—19:06
26C. CaveC000000.001002016:36
20J. NordstromC000020.051103316:05
42D. BackesR000030.1260010015:32
44S. KampferD000030.06300—15:12
17R. DonatoC000-120.11100012:10
14C. WagnerR000000.003026711:58
52S. KuralyC000030.181057511:48
28G. SmithC000000.00200011:24
23J. Forsbacka KarlssonC000-110.121002510:45
43D. HeinenL000-100.00000—10:09
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)28271.9642.39+1.3963:07

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).