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Bruins at Lightning
NHL

Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV SUN, NESN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Bruins scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Joseph's goal at 2:40 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.5, TBL 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 35, TBL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Louis Domingue stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Mathieu Joseph (1 G), 2. Louis Domingue (33 saves, .943), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    M. Joseph1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    L. Domingue33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS111012112235
TBLTBL1150629330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(20)
    C. Cave (2)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:04
  2. TBL
    B. Point(21)
    N. Kucherov (31), T. Johnson (9)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:59

3rd period

  1. TBL
    M. Joseph(9)
    A. Killorn (10), D. Girardi (6)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    2:40
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    4:03
  3. BOS
    D. Krejci(3)
    D. Pastrnak (12), D. Backes (3)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    18:15

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:50BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

2nd

  • 7:04TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 3:49TBLLouis Domingue · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Joseph, 3rd 2:40 — TBL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.29V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.22S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.19B. Point · Missed · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
2.52 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS45%55%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
35
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
10
13
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000050.14110—23:47
73C. McAvoyD000-120.04212—21:02
63B. MarchandL000-160.541005020:59
46D. KrejciC101+130.152005020:05
25B. CarloD000010.02310—19:45
88D. PastrnakR112040.59010—19:33
48M. GrzelcykD000000.08000—18:37
27J. MooreD000-120.01310—17:55
20J. NordstromC000-100.0014010015:57
17R. DonatoC000+220.09000015:34
44S. KampferD000010.02140—15:19
74J. DeBruskL000-210.10100—15:03
26C. CaveC011-120.260102514:55
42D. BackesR011000.005005714:27
55N. AcciariC000030.142103313:16
43D. HeinenL000010.16000—12:49
23J. Forsbacka KarlssonC000020.1101010012:23
52S. KuralyC000000.0000010008:02
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)30273.9002.69-0.3158:32

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).