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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, WGN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eeli Tolvanen's goal at 3:32 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 21, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 3. Craig Smith (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Smith1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1511105221
NSHNSH41301017530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(4)
    R. Johansen (18), M. Irwin (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:11
  2. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(1)
    C. Smith (6)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:32
  3. NSH
    R. Johansen(5)
    K. Fiala (10), D. Hamhuis (3)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    4:11
  4. CHI
    B. Saad(8)SHG
    B. Seabrook (8)
    deflectedxG 0.29win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    12:20
  5. NSH
    C. Smith(7)PPG
    M. Ekholm (13), E. Tolvanen (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob -2 pts
    1-4
    13:35

2nd period

  1. CHI
    A. Anisimov(5)
    B. Manning (2), P. Kane (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    13:16

3rd period

  1. NSH
    A. Watson(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.50win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:06

Penalties

CHI 36 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 7:18CHIDuncan Keith · Roughingdrawn by Miikka Salomaki2 min
  • 7:18CHIDuncan Keith · Instigatordrawn by Miikka Salomaki2 min
  • 7:18NSHMatt Irwin · Fightingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat5 min
  • 7:18CHIAlex DeBrincat · Fightingdrawn by Matt Irwin5 min
  • 7:18NSHMatt Irwin · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 7:18CHIDuncan Keith · Fightingdrawn by Miikka Salomaki5 min
  • 7:18CHIDuncan Keith · Misconduct10 min
  • 7:18CHIDuncan Keith · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:48CHIAndreas Martinsen · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 2:37NSHAustin Watson · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Eeli Tolvanen, 1st 3:32 — NSH 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.50K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.17R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.16R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.13E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH5 G · 3.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
1.82 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI36%64%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
21
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/3
36
Penalty minutes
9
6
Hits
13
9
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-200.03030—28:49
56E. GustafssonD000-210.03110—27:02
88P. KaneR011-100.00010—21:28
7B. SeabrookD011010.03000—20:39
28H. JokiharjuD000010.04010—20:02
23B. ManningD011020.12200—19:41
19J. ToewsC000-110.010004019:19
20B. SaadL101-250.43000—17:55
64D. KampfC000-120.130007516:14
11B. PerliniL000-200.00100—16:06
12A. DeBrincatR000-210.08005—14:34
17D. StromeC000-120.340101313:37
24D. KahunC000000.00000013:27
15A. AnisimovC101+120.320005012:54
40J. HaydenC000010.14200011:45
29A. MartinsenL000010.07002—07:57
16M. KrugerC000+100.0002010007:35
2D. KeithD000010.000029—02:42
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(L)29254.8622.54-1.4659:57

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).