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Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FS-D+, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frans Nielsen's goal at 11:53 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 27, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (38 saves, .950), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Tuukka Rask (23 saves, .885).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Howard38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask23 saves, .885

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0132727427
BOSBOS11109120240

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    J. Moore (3), C. Cave (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:56

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:45
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.40win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:36

3rd period

  1. BOS
    R. Donato(2)PPG
    D. Pastrnak (11), T. Krug (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    5:31
  2. DET
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    11:53
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.51win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:33

Penalties

DET 19 PIM·BOS 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:05BOSColby Cave · Boardingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 3:38DETJustin Abdelkader · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:34BOSSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 16:30DETDennis Cholowski · High stickingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 12:47DETDennis Cholowski · Slashingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 15:08DETLuke Witkowski · Fightingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom5 min
  • 15:08BOSJoakim Nordstrom · Fightingdrawn by Luke Witkowski5 min
  • 17:15BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Danny DeKeyser2 min
  • 17:15BOSTuukka Rask · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 17:15DETJimmy Howard · Roughingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 17:15BOSColby Cave · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 17:56DETTyler Bertuzzi · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 18:42DETMike Green · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 4:45DETDanny DeKeyser · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalDET goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Frans Nielsen, 3rd 11:53 — DET 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.30R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.30D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.18J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.14D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.14D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.13D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.11D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.08D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.05D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.00J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.00D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsBOS
4.13 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET52%48%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
40
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/4
Power play
1/6
19
Penalty minutes
15
22
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3N. JensenD000+100.01010—22:39
71D. LarkinC101-161.0511010022:37
65D. DeKeyserD011+220.06132—22:00
25M. GreenD011+110.01012—20:35
8J. AbdelkaderL011030.48512—20:08
41L. GlendeningC000+130.941405919:57
55N. KronwallD011+210.02020—18:07
51F. NielsenC101+220.190004418:03
39A. ManthaR000-110.09300—16:48
72A. AthanasiouC000+100.05010014:22
52J. EricssonD000-100.00200—13:59
14G. NyquistR123+140.7100010013:58
21D. CholowskiD000-100.05124—13:38
59T. BertuzziL101+230.170025013:37
27M. RasmussenC011+100.07300012:38
26T. VanekL000010.1000010011:25
61J. de la RoseL000000.062001709:36
28L. WitkowskiD000000.00305—05:54
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(W)40382.9502.93+0.9359:10

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).