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Senators at Rangers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
New York Rangers
▸4
FinalTV MSG, TSN5·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lias Andersson's goal at 3:26 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 31, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Henrik Lundqvist stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (29 saves, .935), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Stone (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Stone2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1130919231
NYRNYR11309311433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Staal(1)
    M. Zibanejad (13), J. Fast (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:55
  2. OTT
    M. Stone(10)
    C. White (7), B. Tkachuk (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:03

3rd period

  1. NYR
    L. Andersson(1)
    R. Strome (3)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    3:26
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(13)
    F. Chytil (4), K. Hayes (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:18
  3. OTT
    M. Stone(11)
    B. Tkachuk (6), M. Duchene (20)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    2-3
    17:17
  4. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.67win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:21

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:54NYRJimmy Vesey · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 18:20NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

2nd

  • 1:37OTTZack Smith · Holding the stickdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 17:08OTTMark Stone · Hookingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 4:50OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 8:50OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 11:14OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 11:14NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Kneeingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Lias Andersson, 3rd 3:26 — NYR 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.67J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.42F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.22C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19L. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.19C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.19V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.17R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.15F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.15B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09M. Staal · Goal · xG 0.08T. Gettinger · Missed · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Fogarty · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Gettinger · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.01S. Fogarty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT36%64%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
31
21
Blocked shots
10
19
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000010.10544—25:48
5C. CeciD000-140.16330—25:26
2D. DeMeloD000020.02330—23:55
61M. StoneR202+140.82122—19:50
58M. LajoieD000-110.03010—19:20
15Z. SmithC000000.000023217:19
95M. DucheneC011-220.080005317:13
36C. WhiteC011+120.230005015:25
18R. DzingelC000-130.141105015:13
67B. HarpurD000-120.02020—14:52
9B. RyanR000-110.04100—14:44
71C. TierneyC000-110.020107313:56
7B. TkachukL022+110.08202—13:18
89M. BoedkerL000-150.40100—12:57
56M. PaajarviL000-120.04000—12:40
10T. PyattL000-100.14030—11:16
79D. BathersonR000-100.00010—10:10
83C. JarosD000-100.00300—09:03
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)32293.9063.16+0.1657:45

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).