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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 4:27 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were EDM 34, LAK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Cal Petersen stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 2 A), 2. Dustin Brown (3 G), 3. Alex Chiasson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Brown3 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    A. Chiasson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11211507234
LAKLAK11411038532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:56
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    13:19

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:16
  2. LAK
    D. Brown(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    4:13

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:27
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.59win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    19:06
  3. LAK
    M. Luff(4)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.74
    2-5
    19:33

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:07EDMKyle Brodziak · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 12:52LAKAnze Kopitar · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 13:48LAKJeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min

2nd

  • 3:02EDMOscar Klefbom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:18EDMJujhar Khaira · High stickingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 18:37EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

3rd

  • 11:49LAKTyler Toffoli · Hookingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 18:16EDMConnor McDavid · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 3rd 4:27 — LAK 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Luff · Goal · xG 0.74D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.59N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.56A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.30A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.15D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.15D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.13M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.11K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.08A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.08J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.06I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.05M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.04K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.03M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 4.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
3.22 G
All situations
3 G4.8
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM57%43%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
34
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD022080.17052—26:10
97C. McDavidC011-240.720025624:27
29L. DraisaitlC000-210.270004424:24
25D. NurseD000-110.03030—22:27
6A. LarssonD000020.02020—22:07
4K. RussellD000010.05210—20:57
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-120.451004320:44
23R. SpoonerC000-100.04000016:41
39A. ChiassonR202030.47100—16:24
91D. CaggiulaL000000.03110—14:31
27M. LucicL000030.30110—13:39
10C. WidemanD000-210.03100—13:31
28K. BrodziakC000040.280324413:05
44Z. KassianR000030.34100—12:59
5K. GravelD000-110.04020—11:44
16J. KhairaL000000.003023308:32
98J. PuljujarviR000-100.00102—07:43
8T. RattieR000000.00000—03:32
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)30273.9002.86-0.1459:11

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).