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Hurricanes at Islanders
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG+·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 9:01 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 67% to 80%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.0, NYI 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 27, NYI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Bailey (1 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Greiss (26 saves, .963), 3. Valtteri Filppula (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Bailey1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    V. Filppula1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR05011111127
NYINYI261518419

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    V. Filppula(6)
    L. Komarov (7), S. Mayfield (7)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:39
  2. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(6)
    J. Bailey (14), M. Barzal (17)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:01

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(7)
    B. Nelson (8), A. Lee (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:17

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(2)
    A. Lee (11), B. Nelson (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    8:52
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(4)PPG
    L. Wallmark (9), D. Hamilton (5)
    wristxG 0.16
    1-4
    13:23

Penalties

CAR 7 PIM·NYI 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:27NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

2nd

  • 1:07CARJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 1:38NYIBrock Nelson · High stickingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 5:11CARTrevor Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 5:11NYIRoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Trevor Carrick5 min

3rd

  • 12:02NYIJordan Eberle · Hookingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCAR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 1st 9:01 — NYI 67% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.17C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.16V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.13V. Filppula · Goal · xG 0.13J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.08T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.06V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.05T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI4 G · 1.9 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYI
2.01 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.40 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR52%48%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
19
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
31
Hits
26
7
Blocked shots
20
9
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-210.03210—23:58
27J. FaulkD000-120.11112—23:04
44C. de HaanD000-130.11100—22:48
19D. HamiltonD011-240.09400—22:32
20S. AhoC000-110.131008319:03
11J. StaalC000-200.134005318:17
86T. TeravainenC000010.0810010018:15
37A. SvechnikovR000020.09220—17:10
71L. WallmarkC011-100.0201010014:48
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.08000—14:42
49V. RaskC000000.004005014:11
79M. FerlandL000010.19200—13:51
23B. McGinnL000-230.0821010013:39
14J. WilliamsR101-450.63000—13:19
48J. MartinookL000-220.163002012:45
13W. FoegeleL000000.03100—12:19
7P. Di GiuseppeL000020.07200—11:54
46T. CarrickD000-100.02115—11:29
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)19154.7891.88-2.1259:56

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).