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Devils at Hurricanes
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 6:33 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 20% to 34%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were NJD 34, CAR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Curtis McElhinney stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Williams (1 G), 2. Curtis McElhinney (33 saves, .971), 3. Jordan Staal (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Williams1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    C. McElhinney33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11601107134
CARCAR2130507225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(2)
    J. Staal (4), B. McGinn (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:22
  2. CAR
    M. Ferland(10)
    T. Teravainen (12), D. Hamilton (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    0:30
  3. NJD
    P. Zacha(2)
    J. Bratt (4)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    6:33

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:53CARJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 9:24NJDBen Lovejoy · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 14:04CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 17:26CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Egor Yakovlev2 min
  • 17:42NJDStefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

3rd

  • 3:05NJDAndy Greene · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, 1st 6:33 — NJD 20% → 34%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.80J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.28M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.23J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.14L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bishop · Missed · xG 0.00B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
34
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
37
20
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
26

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000030.07120—22:33
6A. GreeneD000020.04342—21:22
19T. ZajacC000-110.033104820:41
25M. MuellerD000-100.04210—20:28
9T. HallL000-120.16120—20:20
8W. ButcherD000030.07020—19:13
21K. PalmieriC000-120.08110018:30
12B. LovejoyD000000.00242—17:04
37P. ZachaC101040.262004616:56
74E. YakovlevD000-110.03000—15:04
20B. ColemanL000050.20300—14:54
90M. JohanssonL000010.04000—14:37
49J. AndersonR000020.01210—14:19
23S. NoesenR000030.21202—13:23
43B. SeneyL000010.030005811:52
10J. DeaC000030.351106211:41
63J. BrattL011010.09110—11:19
44M. WoodL000000.09100—10:49
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)25232.9201.84-0.1658:55

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).