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Lightning at Flyers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
Philadelphia Flyers
5
Final/OTTV NHLN-US, SUN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-5 in overtime, Anthony Cirelli scoring at 1:47. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 1:47 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 26, PHI 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 1.6 goals below expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Cirelli (1 G), 2. James van Riemsdyk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brayden Point (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL07382813626
PHIPHI01811641100545

Scoring

11 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Erne(2)PPG
    Y. Gourde (12), L. Domingue (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    6:02
  2. TBL
    C. Paquette(3)
    A. Erne (4), B. Coburn (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    12:10
  3. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(1)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (7), C. Giroux (16)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    14:33
  4. TBL
    B. Point(13)
    R. Callahan (1), A. Erne (5)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    17:05

3rd period

  1. TBL
    T. Johnson(7)PPG
    N. Kucherov (15)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    8:57
  2. TBL
    B. Point(14)PPG
    S. Stamkos (11), N. Kucherov (16)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    9:08
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(4)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (8), J. van Riemsdyk (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    10:24
  4. PHI
    S. Couturier(8)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    11:29
  5. PHI
    T. Konecny(5)
    C. Giroux (17), S. Couturier (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    5-4
    15:58
  6. PHI
    W. Simmonds(8)
    R. Hagg (6), J. van Riemsdyk (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +41 pts
    5-5
    16:28

Overtime

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(4)
    A. Killorn (8), V. Hedman (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    6-5
    1:47

Penalties

TBL 12 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:37TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 17:30PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Brayden Point2 min

2nd

  • 1:12TBLVictor Hedman · Holding the stickdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 4:29PHIScott Laughton · Delaying game2 min
  • 13:12TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 8:15PHITravis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 8:47PHIClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 9:57TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 9:57PHIJakub Voracek · Roughingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 9:57TBLErik Cernak · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 11:16TBLJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTBL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, OT 1:47 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.33D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.22J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.21J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.15S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.11J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.07I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.04J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.03W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPHI
2.76 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.53 G
Power play
3 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL38%62%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
45
47%
Faceoffs
53%
3/4
Power play
3/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
26
20
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000-110.01100—24:00
77V. HedmanD011+130.07132—23:36
5D. GirardiD000010.02330—19:19
91S. StamkosC011-110.311125418:44
21B. PointC202030.920104418:19
10J. MillerC000-110.113123318:02
86N. KucherovR022-120.24010—17:32
81E. CernakD000-120.02426—17:16
55B. CoburnD011+120.01100—17:04
98M. SergachevD000+110.03020—15:55
37Y. GourdeC011-110.040003315:53
17A. KillornL011+100.00200—15:36
71A. CirelliC101+120.403304615:27
9T. JohnsonC101-110.150003314:29
24R. CallahanR011+210.01010—13:08
13C. PaquetteC101+120.146206212:53
7M. JosephR000010.10100—11:04
73A. ErneL123+210.08100—11:03
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(W)45405.8893.45-1.5561:47

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).