New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 4:54. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 4:54 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 30, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (28 saves, .933), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Henrik Lundqvist (28 saves, .903).
Three stars
- ★J. Howard28 saves, .933

- ★★D. Larkin1 G

- ★★★H. Lundqvist28 saves, .903

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-017:53
2-018:33
3rd period
2-11:46
2-217:58
Overtime
2-34:54
Penalties
1st
- 0:25
Mike Green · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
- 6:01
Darren Helm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 13:31
Brady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
- 16:48
Jacob de la Rose · High sticking double minordrawn by Kevin Hayes4 min
3rd
- 18:11
Pavel Buchnevich · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 4:54 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.32 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 2.50 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.72 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 2.62
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 23
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 4
- 9
- Giveaways
- 24
- 4
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 3-0
2@
3OTthis game
2@
3SOFinal
3@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
