Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Markus Nutivaara's goal at 11:05 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 28, CBJ 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (27 saves, .964), 2. Markus Nutivaara (1 G), 3. Boone Jenner (1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Bobrovsky27 saves, .964

- ★★M. Nutivaara1 G

- ★★★B. Jenner1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-119:00
2nd period
0-211:05
0-317:14
3rd period
1-33:55
1-418:06
Penalties
1st
- 17:36
Julius Honka · Roughingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
2nd
- 14:58
Roman Polak · Slashingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
3rd
- 0:19
Boone Jenner · Interferencedrawn by Roman Polak2 min
- 2:37
Brandon Dubinsky · Interferencedrawn by Julius Honka2 min
- 10:36
Mattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Dubinsky2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Markus Nutivaara, 2nd 11:05 — 72% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.01 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.5
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 18
- Hits
- 22
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 4
- Giveaways
- 6
- 7
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
CBJ leads 2-0
1@
4this game
2@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
