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Stars at Blue Jackets
NHL

Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FS-O, FS-SW+·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Markus Nutivaara's goal at 11:05 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 28, CBJ 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (27 saves, .964), 2. Markus Nutivaara (1 G), 3. Boone Jenner (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Bobrovsky27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    M. Nutivaara1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0901019128
CBJCBJ11621216434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    19:00

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:05
  2. CBJ
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    17:14

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    3:55
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.37win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:06

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:36DALJulius Honka · Roughingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

2nd

  • 14:58DALRoman Polak · Slashingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

3rd

  • 0:19CBJBoone Jenner · Interferencedrawn by Roman Polak2 min
  • 2:37CBJBrandon Dubinsky · Interferencedrawn by Julius Honka2 min
  • 10:36DALMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Dubinsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalDAL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Markus Nutivaara, 2nd 11:05 — CBJ 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.50R. Murray · Goal · xG 0.37Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.23A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.19B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.12B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.11B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Nutivaara · Goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hannikainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kukan · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.00C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCBJ
2.01 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL51%49%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-120.10000—25:19
23E. LindellD000-100.01040—23:55
4M. HeiskanenD011-220.06210—23:17
91T. SeguinC000-130.320102922:49
14J. BennL101-250.360106320:14
45R. PolakD000-100.00032—17:51
6J. HonkaD000-220.01222—16:55
90J. SpezzaC000-230.190106716:38
12R. FaksaC000-230.312005616:01
43V. NichushkinR000000.00100—15:18
18T. PitlickC000000.02100014:14
15B. ComeauL000010.11400—14:08
17D. ShoreC000-110.0610010013:29
16J. DickinsonC000010.022005612:47
48D. HeatheringtonD000000.01110—12:35
13M. JanmarkC000-110.01102011:33
37J. DowlingC000020.19000011:08
46G. SmithC000020.26100010:00
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)33303.9092.01-0.9956:25

Season series

CBJ leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).