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Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-W, NBCSP·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nolan Patrick's goal at 18:09 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 36, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Ryan Miller stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nolan Patrick (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pontus Aberg (2 G), 3. Sean Couturier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Patrick1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    P. Aberg2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI11011719336
ANAANA071919225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    3:07

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:45
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:57

3rd period

  1. ANA
    P. Aberg(4)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    17:48
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.10win prob +44 pts
    3-2
    18:09

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:28ANAMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 3:19PHIDale Weise · Hookingdrawn by Andy Welinski2 min

2nd

  • 2:39ANAJoseph Blandisi · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 19:58PHIJori Lehtera · Slashingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

3rd

  • 2:38ANAJoseph Blandisi · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 14:12ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 16:27PHIJordan Weal · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPHI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Nolan Patrick, 3rd 18:09 — PHI 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.17R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.10P. Aberg · Goal · xG 0.09P. Aberg · Goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.09A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.07B. Street · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blandisi · Missed · xG 0.04R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.03R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blandisi · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blandisi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.00J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsANA
3.53 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI75%25%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsANA
36
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
17
25
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101+120.25350—26:55
14S. CouturierC101-160.451204021:51
28C. GirouxR022040.540003620:42
8R. HaggD011+200.02310—20:03
3R. GudasD000020.06510—18:53
93J. VoracekR000050.34000—18:34
53S. GostisbehereD011-120.07340—18:11
26C. FolinD000000.00370—17:24
17W. SimmondsR000040.5501010016:45
11T. KonecnyR000+110.10100—16:35
19N. PatrickC112+210.210006515:38
22D. WeiseR000010.16002—14:26
40J. WealC000030.630123614:23
6T. SanheimD000020.04000—14:10
23O. LindblomL011+110.03120—12:08
21S. LaughtonC000010.08110011:56
15J. LehteraC000000.000022510:21
62N. Aube-KubelR000010.01400—05:44
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)25232.9201.98-0.0260:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).